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LifeStance Health Group, Inc. (LFST)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 delivered 19% revenue growth to $300.4M, Center Margin expanded to 31.5% and Adjusted EBITDA rose to $27.7M (9.2% margin), marking a sixth consecutive quarter of meeting/exceeding guided metrics .
  • Management raised FY24 Center Margin and Adjusted EBITDA guidance while reiterating revenue and positive free cash flow outlook; Q2 guidance was introduced with revenue of $297–$315M and Adj. EBITDA of $20–$26M .
  • Against public consensus proxies (S&P Global data unavailable), LFST modestly beat revenue (~$300.44M vs ~$299.0M) and beat EPS (-$0.06 vs -$0.09) for Q1; ensuing estimate resets should skew toward higher margins with stable top line .
  • Key near-term watch items: payer “outlier” rate normalization set to pressure Total Revenue Per Visit (TRPV) in 2H24, offset by broader rate gains and operating leverage; Change Healthcare disruption lifted DSO temporarily but is normalizing .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • Strong operating leverage: Center Margin grew 36% to $94.7M (31.5%) and Adj. EBITDA rose 174% to $27.7M (9.2%) on revenue growth and G&A discipline .
    • Guidance raised: FY24 Center Margin to $353–$373M and Adj. EBITDA to $88–$98M; revenue reiterated at $1.19–$1.24B; positive full-year FCF reiterated .
    • Management tone/confidence: “met or exceeded expectations for the sixth consecutive quarter” and “raising full year adjusted EBITDA guidance” signaled execution momentum .
  • What Went Wrong
    • Payer outlier headwind: one national payer with historically above-market rates reset to portfolio levels, creating short-term TRPV pressure in 2H24/early 2025 (partially offset by other rate increases) .
    • Collections/DSO disruption: Change Healthcare cyberattack extended DSO by ~9 days in Q1 and reduced operating cash flow, though management expects normalization as systems recover .
    • Some Q1 upside was timing-related: center-level spending (e.g., digital check-in, front-office investments) slipped from Q1 to Q2, benefiting Q1 margins but not recurring at the same level intra-year .

Financial Results

Operating summary (oldest → newest):

MetricQ1 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Revenue ($M)$252.6 $280.6 $300.4
Loss from Operations ($M)$(34.1) $(32.3) $(16.8)
Net Income (Loss) ($M)$(34.2) $(45.0) $(21.1)
Center Margin ($M)$69.6 $83.3 $94.7
Center Margin (% of Revenue)27.6% 29.7% 31.5%
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$10.1 $20.3 $27.7
Adjusted EBITDA (% of Revenue)4.0% 7.2% 9.2%
Visits (‘000)1,665 1,783 1,912
Total Revenue Per Visit ($)$151.7 $157.4 $157.1

EPS vs prior year:

MetricQ1 2023Q1 2024
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.09) $(0.06)

Actual vs public consensus proxies for Q1 2024 (S&P Global consensus unavailable today; see note):

MetricActualConsensusSurprise
Revenue ($M)$300.44 $299.02 +$1.42
EPS (GAAP, $)$(0.06) $(0.09) +$0.03

Notes: S&P Global consensus data was unavailable at time of writing due to access limits. Public consensus proxies from MarketBeat/Nasdaq/Zacks show similar levels (~$299M revenue, -$0.09 EPS) .

KPI snapshot:

KPIQ1 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Clinicians (end period)5,961 6,645 6,866
Clinician net adds (Q)221
Visits (‘000)1,665 1,783 1,912
TRPV ($)151.7 157.4 157.1

Segment breakdown: Not applicable; LifeStance reports as a single operating platform .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($B)FY 2024$1.19–$1.24 (02/28/24) $1.19–$1.24 Maintained
Center Margin ($M)FY 2024$345–$365 (02/28/24) $353–$373 Raised
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)FY 2024$80–$90 (02/28/24) $88–$98 Raised
Free Cash FlowFY 2024Positive (02/28/24) Positive Maintained
Revenue ($M)Q2 2024$297–$315 New quarterly guide
Center Margin ($M)Q2 2024$85–$97 New quarterly guide
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)Q2 2024$20–$26 New quarterly guide

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 2023 (Prev-2)Q4 2023 (Prev-1)Q1 2024 (Current)Trend
Payer strategyCulled ~30% low-volume contracts; early assertive rate posture Expect further payer pruning; incremental rate benefits into 2024 One outlier payer re-priced to market; TRPV pressure 2H24; broader rate gains continue Mixed near term; positive LT
Productivity focusUtilization (no-show/cancel) improvements; 9–10% rates achieved Shift attention toward capacity in 2024 Capacity initiatives underway; Q2 net adds seasonally slower; no productivity baked into guidance Improving
Tech/digital opsSingle EHR/phone; digital check-in pilots HRIS/credentialing go-live by summer; EHR enhancement path Digital check-in/front-office investments timing shifted Q1→Q2 Execution progress
Real estate70–82 center consolidations in 2023; 2024 benefit >$5M Project largely complete; de novo pace moderated Footprint optimization continuing; hybrid care a differentiator Tailwind
Free cash flowExpect approach to breakeven in 2024 Milestone: positive FCF in 2024 expected FY24 positive FCF reiterated Improving
Collections/DSODSO held claims in Q3 (timing) DSO improved to 41 days Change Healthcare incident added ~9 days to DSO; normalizing Normalizing
Legal/regulatorySecurities class action settlement sizing Final $25M paid in Q1’24 Other privacy/comp. class actions ongoing; costs treated as non-recurring De-risking

Management Commentary

  • “We met or exceeded expectations for the sixth consecutive quarter…We are also raising full year adjusted EBITDA guidance” — Ken Burdick, CEO .
  • “The beat in the first quarter primarily came through performance in center margin…investments…getting off the ramp a little bit slower than we thought” — David Bourdon, CFO (re timing) .
  • “A single outlier [payer]…meaningfully higher…will now bring them in line…short-term downward pressure on TRPV…already contemplated in 2024 guidance” — Management on payer normalization .
  • “Change Healthcare…resulted in a net impact of approximately $18 million…DSO increased…~9 days…expected to…resolve in the second quarter” — CFO on collections .
  • “We remain confident…positive free cash flow in 2024…grow revenue at mid-teens through 2025 and exit 2025 with double-digit margins” — CEO on outlook .

Q&A Highlights

  • Operating leverage: Management framed Q1 as “initial progress” in an 8–9 quarter efficiency journey; some delayed spend aided the beat .
  • Payer cadence and TRPV: The outlier reprice phases in across lines of business; modeling should assume higher TRPV in 1H than 2H 2024 .
  • Capacity focus: 2024 emphasis shifts from utilization to clinician capacity; incentives tilt to full-time with benefits/equity while maintaining recruiting engine .
  • Collections normalization: Change Healthcare disruption largely timing; DSO already improving in April with reversion expected later in 2024 .
  • Leadership/bench: COO transition handled with elevated internal leaders; process/KPI discipline underpins stability .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus data was unavailable at time of writing due to access limits. Public consensus proxies indicated revenue of ~$299.0M and EPS of -$0.09 for Q1 2024; LFST reported $300.44M and -$0.06, implying modest top-line and EPS beats .
  • Implication: Street models may raise FY24 Adj. EBITDA and Center Margin to reflect guidance lift and operating leverage, while holding revenue bands; TRPV trajectory should be tempered in 2H to reflect payer reset commentary .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Execution momentum: Six straight “meet/exceed” quarters with visible operating leverage and raised FY24 margin guidance; watch sustainability as deferred spend catches up .
  • Mix headwind flagged: A single payer reprice will weigh on TRPV in 2H24/early 2025; broader rate gains and volume growth are expected to offset over time .
  • Cash dynamics improving: DSO spike from Change Healthcare is transitory; FY24 positive free cash flow reiterated, supporting self-funded growth and no near-term need for capital .
  • Capacity is the 2024 lever: With utilization stabilized, benefits/equity and process improvements aim to drive more full-time clinician hours and throughput .
  • Footprint optimized, de novos selective: 2023 real estate consolidation done; 2024 de novos moderated (≤20), aiding margin expansion .
  • Short-term modeling cues: Q2 guide embeds some Q1 spend timing catch-up; model 1H TRPV > 2H; margin expansion continues but not strictly linear .
  • Marketing/brand: Ongoing stigma-reduction campaign (“Not One Face”) supports patient funnel and brand equity with limited paid acquisition reliance .

Additional Sources Read

  • Q1 2024 8‑K and press release with full financials, reconciliations, and quarterly appendices .
  • Q1 2024 earnings call transcript (prepared remarks and Q&A) .
  • Q4 2023 and Q3 2023 earnings call transcripts for prior-quarter trend analysis .
  • Other Q2 2024 guidance details from the earnings slide deck .
  • Marketing press release (May 1, 2024) .

Estimate note: S&P Global consensus estimates were not retrievable at the time of writing due to access limits. Public proxies are cited above for context.